ContentsThe library

Thinking Like an Attacker

Nobody Attacks You in General

Last timeDrawing the System Honestly

Describe your attackers by what they can do and what they want, not by how frightening they sound. Then throw away the threats that are real and have nothing to do with you.

Capability, not character

Ask a team who might attack them and the answers arrive as adjectives.

Sophisticated attackers. Determined attackers. State actors, usually

mentioned with a slight laugh. Script kiddies, mentioned dismissively.

None of those descriptions lets you decide anything. You cannot look at a

proposed defence and ask whether it stops a determined attacker, because

determination is not a quantity your system interacts with.

Describe them instead as a capability, which means five concrete things:

the budget they can spend, the time they can spend, the access they

already have, the skills they can hire, and the consequence they are

willing to risk.

FIG 1Four attackers, described so you can decide
budget, 0 to 3time, 0 to 3access already held, 0 thow much of your incomin
an opportunist running a0103
a criminal group after r2202
somebody who already has0031
an organisation with a s3310
Read the last column before the first. Almost everything that reaches you is the top row, which has no budget, no time and no access. The bottom row has all three and may send you nothing for years. The two marked cells are where to spend first: the volume, and the access somebody already holds.

Sophisticated is not a property of a person. It is a price. A technique

that cost a research team two years in 2015 costs anybody fifty dollars

and a weekend now, because it has been written up, packaged and resold.

So capability is not fixed either, which is the first argument for the

final lesson of this course.

Motive decides the target

Capability says what somebody can do. Motive says which of your assets

they come for, and you already have the asset register from the first

lesson, so this step is a mapping rather than a new exercise.

The lesson stops here

5 more paragraphs to go

You have read the opening. The rest of the argument, the problems that check whether it landed, and the lines worth keeping at the end all come with a plan.

The first lesson of every course in the library reads the whole way through, free, so you can see exactly what the rest of them are.

See the planThe contents

This is the reading half

Starting the course gives you your own copy of it. Every idea on every page has problems standing under it, marked with a reason rather than a tick, and any sentence you do not believe can be opened and argued with. None of that can happen on a page nobody owns.

The contents

The rest of this course

  1. 01Start With What You Would Hate to Lose
  2. 02The Drawing Is Where the Findings Areopening only
  3. 03Nobody Attacks You in Generalyou are here
  4. 04A Checklist Beats Being Cleveropening only
  5. 05Three Harmless Things in a Rowopening only
  6. 06Rank by Loss, Not by Frightopening only
  7. 07Most of the List Is Not Going to Be Fixedopening only
  8. 08Hook It to the Things That Changeopening only

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